Since the implementation of the presidential primaries (PASO) in Argentina in 2011, incumbent parties have been experiencing an increasingly pronounced decline in voter turnout. In the 2015 and 2019 elections, this decline resulted in victories for the opposition. The concentration of the opposition vote reached its highest point in a primary election in the August primaries, with 71,12% of the vote. Could some of these trends be repeated in tomorrow's general election when the president is chosen? Will Javier Milei secure an opposition victory in the first round? Can Sergio Massa reverse his third-place finish for Unión por la Patria in the primaries and force a runoff? Can Patricia Bullrich displace the incumbent candidate in that aspiration? With 24 hours to go before a decisive electoral event for the future of the country, a study by the School of Government of the Universidad Austral which he accessed Infobae He analyzed the presidential election results since 2011, including their respective primaries, including the most recent ones two months ago.
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